{"id":1563,"date":"2019-03-19T17:22:00","date_gmt":"2019-03-19T16:22:00","guid":{"rendered":"http:\/\/www.incaudavenenum.org\/cut.the.crap\/?p=1563"},"modified":"2019-03-19T17:22:06","modified_gmt":"2019-03-19T16:22:06","slug":"scenario","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.incaudavenenum.org\/cut.the.crap\/scenario\/","title":{"rendered":"Sc\u00e9nario"},"content":{"rendered":"\n

\u00ab\u00a0Les trait\u00e9s actuels et tous les pr\u00e9c\u00e9dents ne peuvent \u00eatre modifi\u00e9s qu’\u00e0 l’unanimit\u00e9 des Etats membres ou ne pr\u00e9voient pas de proc\u00e9dure de r\u00e9vision. Mais il est faux d’en d\u00e9duire l’impossibilit\u00e9 de r\u00e9former l’Union. L’exp\u00e9rience le prouve : au lieu d’utiliser la proc\u00e9dure de r\u00e9vision \u00e0 l’unanimit\u00e9, les Etats membres ont contourn\u00e9 cette difficult\u00e9 en empilant les trait\u00e9s.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Notre strat\u00e9gie d’insoumission est une strat\u00e9gie diplomatique, avec pour vis-\u00e0-vis des gouvernements des autres Etats membres, qui seront tant\u00f4t des alli\u00e9s, tant\u00f4t des adversaires. En d’autres termes, nous engagerons un processus de n\u00e9gociation fond\u00e9 simultan\u00e9ment sur un rapport de forces et sur des jeux d’alliances \u00e9volutifs. Nos interlocuteurs ne seront pas des statues de sel, muettes, et le r\u00e9sultat final sera le fruit de nos interactions. Cette strat\u00e9gie doit donc, pour couvrir les cas de figure pr\u00e9visibles, prendre la forme d’un sc\u00e9nario \u00e0 tiroirs. (…)<\/p>\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n

Son application commencera le jour o\u00f9 La France Insoumise ou, le cas \u00e9ch\u00e9ant, une force politique plus large prendra le pouvoir par les urnes. Le nouveau gouvernement proposera alors aux autres Etats membres d’adopter un nouveau trait\u00e9 refondateur de l’Union europ\u00e9enne<\/a>. (…)<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Selon la mesure consid\u00e9r\u00e9e, nous pourrons nous satisfaire de l’inscrire dans un nouveau trait\u00e9 europ\u00e9en comme objectif \u00e0 atteindre \u00e0 moyen terme, ou faire au contraire de son application imm\u00e9diate une condition sine qua non. Bien \u00e9videmment, le principe m\u00eame d’une n\u00e9gociation implique que nous n’obtenions pas n\u00e9cessairement satisfaction sur tout. Quoi qu’il en soit, il appartiendra au peuple fran\u00e7ais d’approuver ou pas le fruit de la n\u00e9gociation, en se pronon\u00e7ant par r\u00e9f\u00e9rendum.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Dans l’attente du r\u00e9sultat de la n\u00e9gociation, la France d\u00e9sob\u00e9ira \u00e0 toutes les r\u00e8gles qui emp\u00eachent l’application de notre programme de gouvernement, \u201cL’avenir en commun\u201d. Ce sera donc une option de retrait unilat\u00e9ral et provisoire. trois issues deviennent ensuite possibles.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

La premi\u00e8re : l’adoption d’un trait\u00e9 refondateur de l’Union europ\u00e9enne par ses Etats membres.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

La deuxi\u00e8me : un accord pour que la France et tous les pays favorables \u00e0 sa proposition initiale proc\u00e8dent \u00e0 une option de retrait collective. ces pays se soustrairont ainsi \u00e0 toutes les r\u00e8gles de l’Union emp\u00eachant la mise en oeuvre de leur projet politique. Par d\u00e9finition, la liste de ces pays ne peut \u00eatre dress\u00e9e aujourd’hui, car elle d\u00e9pendra des choix exprim\u00e9s par les gouvernements du moment.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

La troisi\u00e8me issue conduit \u00e0 une porte close : c’est le blocage de la n\u00e9gociation avec \u201cnos partenaires europ\u00e9ens\u201d. Les guillemets s’imposent, car, en l’\u00e9tat actuel du rapport de forces g\u00e9opolitique dans l’Union, l’expression \u201cnos partenaires europ\u00e9ens\u201d s’apparente \u00e0 une p\u00e9riphrase pour d\u00e9signer le gouvernement de l’Allemagne, seule puissance en mesure de bloquer une n\u00e9gociation ouverte par la France. Berlin, et non Paris, prendrait alors la responsabilit\u00e9 d’enclencher l’engrenage conduisant la France et ses alli\u00e9s \u00e0 sortir des trait\u00e9s pour fonder ensemble une nouvelle construction europ\u00e9enne (…) \u2014 \u00e9largie, le cas \u00e9ch\u00e9ant, \u00e0 des pays europ\u00e9ens non membres de l’Union europ\u00e9enne ou \u00e0 une partie de la rive sud de la M\u00e9diterran\u00e9e.\u00a0\u00bb<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Tomas Gu\u00e9nol\u00e9, \u00ab\u00a0Face \u00e0 Bruxelles, le pari de l’insoumission\u00a0\u00bb,
Le Monde diplomatique<\/a><\/em>, mars 2019<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"

\u00ab\u00a0Les trait\u00e9s actuels et tous les pr\u00e9c\u00e9dents ne peuvent \u00eatre modifi\u00e9s qu’\u00e0 l’unanimit\u00e9 des Etats membres ou ne pr\u00e9voient pas de proc\u00e9dure de r\u00e9vision. Mais il est faux d’en d\u00e9duire l’impossibilit\u00e9 de r\u00e9former l’Union. L’exp\u00e9rience le prouve : au lieu d’utiliser la proc\u00e9dure de r\u00e9vision \u00e0 l’unanimit\u00e9, les Etats membres ont contourn\u00e9 cette difficult\u00e9 en … Continuer la lecture de « Sc\u00e9nario »<\/span><\/a><\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":1,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"quote","meta":{"jetpack_post_was_ever_published":false,"_jetpack_newsletter_access":"","_jetpack_dont_email_post_to_subs":false,"_jetpack_newsletter_tier_id":0,"_jetpack_memberships_contains_paywalled_content":false,"_jetpack_memberships_contains_paid_content":false,"footnotes":"","jetpack_publicize_message":"","jetpack_publicize_feature_enabled":true,"jetpack_social_post_already_shared":true,"jetpack_social_options":{"image_generator_settings":{"template":"highway","default_image_id":0,"font":"","enabled":false},"version":2}},"categories":[361,4],"tags":[528,118,389,527],"class_list":["post-1563","post","type-post","status-publish","format-quote","hentry","category-citations","category-lectures","tag-desobeissance","tag-france-insoumise","tag-thomas-guenole","tag-union-europeenne","post_format-post-format-quote"],"yoast_head":"\nSc\u00e9nario - Cut The Crap<\/title>\n<meta name=\"robots\" content=\"index, follow, max-snippet:-1, max-image-preview:large, max-video-preview:-1\" \/>\n<link rel=\"canonical\" href=\"https:\/\/www.incaudavenenum.org\/cut.the.crap\/scenario\/\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:locale\" content=\"fr_FR\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:type\" content=\"article\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:title\" content=\"Sc\u00e9nario - Cut The Crap\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:description\" content=\"\u00ab\u00a0Les trait\u00e9s actuels et tous les pr\u00e9c\u00e9dents ne peuvent \u00eatre modifi\u00e9s qu’\u00e0 l’unanimit\u00e9 des Etats membres ou ne pr\u00e9voient pas de proc\u00e9dure de r\u00e9vision. 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