{"id":5260,"date":"2026-09-30T16:16:21","date_gmt":"2026-09-30T14:16:21","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.incaudavenenum.org\/cut.the.crap\/?p=5260"},"modified":"2026-09-30T16:32:50","modified_gmt":"2026-09-30T14:32:50","slug":"additionner-les-electorats","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.incaudavenenum.org\/cut.the.crap\/additionner-les-electorats\/","title":{"rendered":"Additionner les \u00e9lectorats"},"content":{"rendered":"\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">Sur le site <a href=\"https:\/\/www.hors-serie.net\/la-gauche-elargit-a-nouveau-son-socle\/\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noreferrer noopener\">Hors-S\u00e9rie<\/a>, le sociologue Manuel Cervera-Marzal publie un article qui donne de l\u2019espoir\u2026 et soul\u00e8ve tout de m\u00eame des interrogations. L&rsquo;auteur y note que pour la premi\u00e8re fois depuis longtemps, les sondages en cette fin d&rsquo;\u00e9t\u00e9 2026 r\u00e9v\u00e8lent une augmentation du total des intentions de vote \u00e0 gauche, d\u00e9passant d\u00e9sormais 40%, alors qu&rsquo;elles peinaient \u00e0 d\u00e9passer les 30% depuis de nombreuses ann\u00e9es.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">Mais si le socle de la gauche au sens large s\u2019\u00e9largit, le fait-il autant que le socle de l\u2019extr\u00eame-droite ?<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">Et puis, si l\u2019\u00e9lectorat de M\u00e9lenchon et celui de Glucksmann croissent chacun sans qu\u2019il y ait d\u2019effet de vase communicant, ces \u00e9lectorats pourront-ils s\u2019additionner le moment venu ?<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">Lors des derni\u00e8res municipales chez moi, lorsqu\u2019avec une coalition gauche du PS\/APRES\/PCF\/Debout on a propos\u00e9 une fusion \u00e0 la FI pour battre au 2\u00e8me tour le maire sortant issu de la droite du PS, la FI nous a envoy\u00e9 balader au motif que \u00ab nos \u00e9lectorats ne s\u2019additionnent pas \u00bb.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">Apr\u00e8s avoir fait capoter la primaire large du Front Populaire 2027, la droite du PS rang\u00e9e derri\u00e8re Glucksmann proclame qu\u2019il ne peut y avoir d\u2019union avec LFI.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">Il y a des diff\u00e9rences, bien s\u00fbr, entre ces deux \u00ab gauches \u00bb, et malgr\u00e9 mes r\u00e9serves sur M\u00e9lenchon, je ne peux me reconna\u00eetre dans un Glucksmann. Mais pour battre le fascisme, il faudra bien qu\u2019au 2\u00e8me tour au moins, les \u00e9lecteurs de l\u2019un puissent s\u2019additionner \u00e0 ceux de l\u2019autre, m\u00eame la mort dans l\u2019\u00e2me.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">Sans nier les divergences, il faudrait donc y travailler.<br><br><em>Cut the crap\u00a0!<\/em><\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\"><\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>Sur le site Hors-S\u00e9rie, le sociologue Manuel Cervera-Marzal publie un article qui donne de l\u2019espoir\u2026 et soul\u00e8ve tout de m\u00eame des interrogations. L&rsquo;auteur y note que pour la premi\u00e8re fois depuis longtemps, les sondages en cette fin d&rsquo;\u00e9t\u00e9 2026 r\u00e9v\u00e8lent une augmentation du total des intentions de vote \u00e0 gauche, d\u00e9passant d\u00e9sormais 40%, alors qu&rsquo;elles [&hellip;]<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":1,"featured_media":5261,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_jetpack_newsletter_access":"","_jetpack_dont_email_post_to_subs":false,"_jetpack_newsletter_tier_id":0,"_jetpack_memberships_contains_paywalled_content":false,"_jetpack_hide_featured_image":false,"_jetpack_featured_image_duplicate_dismissed":0,"_jetpack_feature_clip_id":0,"_jetpack_memberships_contains_paid_content":false,"footnotes":"","jetpack_publicize_message":"","jetpack_publicize_feature_enabled":true,"jetpack_social_post_already_shared":true,"jetpack_social_options":{"image_generator_settings":{"template":"highway","default_image_id":0,"font":"","enabled":false},"version":2},"jetpack_post_was_ever_published":false},"categories":[7],"tags":[168,641,780,320],"class_list":["post-5260","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-resistance","tag-jean-luc-melenchon","tag-manuel-cervera-marzal","tag-raphael-glucksmann","tag-sondages"],"yoast_head":"<!-- This site is optimized with the Yoast SEO plugin v28.8 - 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